1. Filipe Toledo will win.
Am I biased because our movie on him, Spinning At The Speed Of Now, is premiering tonight? Maybe. But maybe not. You couldn’t build a very coherent argument against the idea that Filipe is one of the best surfers in the world right now. And that argument loses whatever coherence it may have had when the waves droop below head-high. The forecast for the rest of the event isn’t looking so hearty, which translates to a lot of quality time with Peter Mel in the channel and a borderline unbeatable Filipe Toledo.
2. Carissa Moore will win, too.
In my eyes, there are three female surfers that are on a completely different level than everyone else without a penis: Carissa Moore, Stephanie Gilmore and Tyler Wright (Courtney Conlogue is here sometimes, but needs to be more consistent). And I’m not discrediting the rest of the Women’s WCT — I’m just saying that the aforementioned three are different. For my money, Carissa is the best of them and she’s the only one left in the Lowers draw. She’s also won about 400 National titles at Lowers and knows the wave quite well. If she loses, I will immediately point an angry finger at inconsistent surf and maybe try to fight the Pacific Ocean for making me wrong.
3. Mick will make the final.
I’m not Al Hunt. I’m bad at math and I still blame my 10th grade geometry teacher’s very hard to understand accident on that (gotta have an alibi). So I don’t know the exact numbers, but I think it’s safe to assume that a Lowers final for Mick would put him in a very good place in terms of the Title race. Which means that we should all be ready for a barrage of comments about how another championship for Mick, the intrepid shark fighter, is the WSL’s agenda for the year. Bring your tin foil hat and anonymity…ever notice how the symbol for interference looks just like an illuminati?
4. Nobody will do an air like Kelly’s.
Because it was a highly-entertaining freak accident that has absolutely nothing to do with high-performance surfing.
The contest will likely finish either Thursday or Friday. And to brush up, here are the match-ups:
Hurley Pro Quarterfinal Match-Ups:
QF 1: Filipe Toledo (BRA) vs. Joel Parkinson (AUS)
QF 2: Adriano de Souza (BRA) vs. Wiggolly Dantas (BRA)
QF 3: Adrian Buchan (AUS) vs. Mick Fanning (AUS)
QF 4: Gabriel Medina (BRA) vs. Nat Young (USA)
Swatch Women's Pro Semifinal Match-Ups:
SF 1: Bianca Buitendag (ZAF) vs. Lakey Peterson (USA)
SF 2: Carissa Moore (HAW) vs. Dimity Stoyle (AUS)